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Neurodynamical model of confidence decision-making in LIP

Decision confidence, the degree of certainty to which a subject believes his choice is correct, is an emerging subject in neuroscience. On one hand it is a fundamental component of our subjective conscious experience. On the other hand it is crucial to many cognitive functions like action planning and learning. In the past the speed accuracy trade-off in decision-making has received much attention by the scientific community since it is a key aspect of simple decisions, used in experimental conditions. In the context of complex more “real” environments, where different strategies can be applied, besides speed and accuracy, flexibility also become very important. Flexibility is the ability of an agent to explore and use alternative strategies in order to reach the goals. In a more simple view flexibility is the ability of taking into account more options in a decision process. The selection between alternative strategies can be regulated by evaluating the confidence in a choice. If the confidence is too low and other strategies are available, then the subject will try an alternative. Therefore evaluating the confidence in a choice can be particularly helpful for agents in complex dynamic environments.

There is only few evidence about neural mechanisms underlying decision confidence [1][2]. New neurophysiological evidence about decision confidence comes from a recent study [3], that tested the ability of monkeys to choose, in a two choice random dot motion (RDM) task, between standard targets and a “sure” target appearing later. This target represents a small but certain reward. Recordings from LIP neurons during the behavioral task show a dependence of firing rate upon certainty in the decision.

We propose a theory about neuronal mechanisms of flexibility that can account for LIP data. The theory is implemented in a network model composed of integrate-and-fire neurons with biologically detailed synapses, including AMPA, NDMA and GABA receptors [4].

Our proposal is that, as reported by [2], the confidence is implicitly encoded in the firing-rate of the decision neurons, but there is no need for a reading out of this information. In our model the RDM stimulus generates a competition between two pools of decision neurons, a third pool remains silent until it is turned on by the third target presentation. When all three pools receive task salient stimulus they compete until a decision is reached. In this way the information about confidence in the first decision, stored in the firing-rate, is directly used into the network without the need of an other reading network [2].

We analyze the property of the network in a reduced mean-field model. The first bifurcation in the space of input is connected with speed accuracy trade-off [5]. Our finding is that the proximity with a second bifurcation enhances flexibility, raising the probability of alternative strategies.


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This work was supported by the European Community's Seventh Framework Programme FP7/2007-2013 under grant agreement number 214728-2.

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Correspondence to Andrea Insabato.

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Insabato, A., Pannunzi, M. & Deco, G. Neurodynamical model of confidence decision-making in LIP. BMC Neurosci 12 (Suppl 1), P65 (2011).

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